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GLOBAL TRADE INTELLIGENCE

Global Arbitrage
Corridor Intelligence

Where supply is moving, what margins exist, and whether corridors are expanding or collapsing. Execution-grade trade intelligence across the global cannabis market.

Active Flows
18
Expanding
7
Compressing
4
Countries
42

CID Take — Corridor Intelligence

Supply Is Rerouting. The Map Has Changed.

What Is Moving

LatAm-to-EU flower corridors expanded 48% in Q1. Israel tariffs collapsed the Canada-Israel route, redirecting volume to Colombia. Thai medical exports to APAC accelerating.

Where Pressure Builds

Supply pressure concentrating on Colombia and South Africa export corridors. Demand surging in Germany and Israel post-regulatory shifts. Canada facing structural cost disadvantage.

What This Signals

Expanding flows indicate new corridor formation. Compressing flows signal oversupply or regulatory friction. Most margins above 3x will not persist beyond 60-90 days.

Ranked Corridor Board

Major Arbitrage Routes

Corridor intelligence based on verified trade conditions. No supplier names. Click any corridor for compliance and risk detail.

EU-GMP Indoor Flower · GACP + EU-GMP

Margin
2.8x - 3.4x
Execute
4 - 8 weeks
Confidence
High · 92%
Friction
Low
Velocity
4 / 5
expanding
Catalyst
Bilateral agreements, GMP-certified pipeline, Canadian cost disadvantage

Medical Flower · SAHPRA + EU-GMP (pipeline)

Margin
3.2x - 4.1x
Execute
6 - 12 weeks
Confidence
Signal · 68%
Friction
Medium
Velocity
3 / 5
expanding
Catalyst
GACP certification in progress, EPA 0% duty, low production costs

Medical Cannabis · Thai FDA + TGA Pathway

Margin
2.1x - 2.9x
Execute
8 - 14 weeks
Confidence
Medium · 62%
Friction
Medium
Velocity
3 / 5
stable
Catalyst
TGA approval pathway expanding, Thai export regulations clarifying

EU-GMP Dried Flower · Health Canada + EU-GMP

Margin
1.4x - 2.0x
Execute
3 - 6 weeks
Confidence
High · 88%
Friction
Medium
Velocity
1 / 5
compressing
Catalyst
Established corridor but LatAm undercutting on cost, volume declining

How to Read This Data

Margin
Approximate spread between wholesale acquisition and retail reference price in the destination market.
Confidence
High = multiple corroborated sources. Medium = 2+ sources. Signal = early indicator, limited verification.
Velocity
Speed of trade flow through the corridor. Higher velocity indicates more active and liquid routes.
Friction
Regulatory and logistical resistance. Low friction corridors have established compliance pathways.

14 More Active Corridors Available

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